CAPTAIN DOCK

ArcPredict

Prediction markets, challenge windows, and a claim path.

Launch live site
  • TESTNET
  • EXPERIMENTAL

Challenge window

System signature

ArcPredict

Process diagram / not live data

AI does not participate in final settlement

01 / Context

Problem

ArcPredict follows a prediction market from opening and participation through outcome proposal, challenge or confirmation, and claim, clarifying the boundary between probability, disputes, and final settlement.

Boundaries
  • AI does not participate in final settlement; it only helps explain markets, risks, and states.
  • Market and probability data are shown in a demo or testnet context and are not investment advice.
  • Claim eligibility depends on the external project contracts and deployment state.

02 / System

Mechanism

  1. Open market

    Step notes

    Creates a prediction market with a clear question, deadline, and settlement conditions.

  2. Place prediction

    Step notes

    The user takes a position while the interface shows odds, funds, and risk cues.

  3. Propose outcome

    Step notes

    After the market closes, an outcome proposal waits for confirmation or challenge.

  4. Challenge / confirm

    Step notes

    The dispute window makes clear why a proposed result can be challenged or confirmed.

  5. Claim

    Step notes

    After confirmation, eligible users enter the claim path for the corresponding outcome.

Technical notes

Roles

  • Prediction market UX
  • Frontend engineering
  • Settlement boundary design

Tags

  • Prediction market
  • Oracle flow
  • Challenge window

Build lanes

Stack lanes

  • Interface

    Market cardsBetting stateClaim flow

  • Data/Realtime

    Market lifecycleOdds displayChallenge window state

  • Settlement/Trust

    Oracle proposalChallenge confirmationClaim eligibility

  • AI/Operations

    AI Lens explanationHuman-readable risk framingNo final settlement authority

03 / Evidence

Proof

Interface evidence

ArcPredict prediction-market home showing market cards, probabilities, and participation entry points.
Media notes

The market home shows the full state line from opening and participation to outcome proposal and claim.

  • Market home

    DEMO
    Evidence notes

    Shows available prediction markets and status labels with demo-context amounts and probabilities.

  • Oracle path

    EXPERIMENTAL
    Evidence notes

    Shows how outcome proposal and confirmation states are presented to users.

  • Challenge window

    TESTNET
    Evidence notes

    Highlights the boundary of challenge and confirmation so AI explanation is not mistaken for final adjudication.